Conf = LEC
Nickname = CT Colonials Coach = Ryan CavanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.6440430 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 221 A Ursinus Centennial ( 7- 9, 91.2) 9-10 224 N Arcadia MAC-Freedom (10- 8, 88.0) 12- 5 302 A Merchant Marine Skyline (10- 5, 85.8) 17-12 306 H Sage Empire 8 ( 6-10, 80.8) 19- 4 309 H Misericordia MAC-Freedom ( 8- 9, 85.4) 17-11 313 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.5) 8-13 320 H Farmingdale State Skyline (16- 4, 86.9) 12- 9 322 A Plymouth State LEC (15- 5, 87.4) 9-10 326 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.0) 8-14 330 H Castleton LEC ( 3-14, 75.6) 17- 5 409 A Massachusetts-Boston LEC (13- 5, 87.1) 18-13 413 H Massachusetts Maritime LEC ( 8- 7, 85.0) 8- 7 417 H Eastern Connecticut LEC ( 6-11, 81.8) 20- 6 420 A Salem State LEC ( 4-11, 70.6) 25- 9 423 A Keene State LEC ( 6- 9, 86.9) 13-12 426 H Southern Maine LEC ( 5-12, 77.0) 28- 7 502 H Keene State LEC ( 6- 9, 86.9) 11- 9 504 H Plymouth State LEC (15- 5, 87.4) 10-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Ursinus 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.19 224 N Arcadia 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.28 302 A Merchant Marine 17-12 5 2 + 2.82 306 H Sage 19- 4 15 8 0.00 309 H Misericordia 17-11 6 4 1.93 313 H Trinity 8-13 -5 -4 -0.92 320 H Farmingdale State 12- 9 3 2 0.52 322 A Plymouth State 9-10 -1 0 -1.66 326 A Connecticut College 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.05 330 H Castleton 17- 5 12 13 0.00 409 A Massachusetts-Boston 18-13 5 0 ++ 4.11 413 H Massachusetts Maritime 8- 7 1 4 - -3.44 417 H Eastern Connecticut 20- 6 14 7 0.00 420 A Salem State 25- 9 16 17 0.00 423 A Keene State 13-12 1 1 -0.13 426 H Southern Maine 28- 7 21 12 0.00 502 H Keene State 11- 9 2 2 -0.53 504 H Plymouth State 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 H Plymouth State 10-16 -6 2 --- -8.06 326 A Connecticut College 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.05 413 H Massachusetts Maritime 8- 7 1 4 - -3.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 N Arcadia 12- 5 7 0 +++ 6.28 409 A Massachusetts-Boston 18-13 5 0 ++ 4.11 221 A Ursinus 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.19 302 A Merchant Marine 17-12 5 2 + 2.82
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.73 Power Rank................. 64 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.97 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 96 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5778 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 107 RPI Rating............... .5587 RPI Rank................... 63 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 232 Selection sum ........... 229 Selection Rank ............ 68 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 53 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -60. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 59 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7