Conf = LEC ------ State = T
Mascot = Colonials ------ Coach = Ryan CavanaghGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.3387375 home-field advantage = -0.53 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 219 H Ursinus Centennial ( 5-10, 85.5) 15-14 222 A Misericordia MAC-Freedom ( 8- 9, 82.4) 10- 8 226 H Montclair State CLC ( 8- 8, 85.1) 14- 9 301 H Merchant Marine Skyline (10- 6, 85.0) 15-17 304 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.1) 11-14 308 A Hartford CNE ( 9- 6, 85.4) 4-14 312 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 8, 92.7) 4-10 317 N Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 90.7) 4-14 319 N Farmingdale State Skyline (16- 4, 87.5) 12-13 323 H Plymouth State LEC (11- 5, 83.0) 9- 8 328 A Southern Maine LEC ( 1-14, 69.7) 25- 5 329 A Castleton LEC ( 3-12, 73.1) 13- 2 410 H Massachusetts-Boston LEC (14- 5, 84.6) 21- 5 412 A Massachusetts Maritime LEC ( 9- 7, 81.6) 16-10 416 A Eastern Connecticut LEC ( 6- 8, 77.4) 20- 7 419 H Salem State LEC ( 8- 8, 71.9) 29- 1 422 H Keene State LEC ( 8-10, 82.0) 21-11 501 H Keene State LEC ( 8-10, 82.0) 17- 7 503 H Massachusetts-Boston LEC (14- 5, 84.6) 22- 7 507 A Babson NEWMAC (14- 6, 91.5) 4-24
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H Ursinus 15-14 1 1 -0.38 222 A Misericordia 10- 8 2 3 -1.50 226 H Montclair State 14- 9 5 1 + 3.14 301 H Merchant Marine 15-17 -2 1 - -3.88 304 H Connecticut College 11-14 -3 -4 1.20 308 A Hartford 4-14 -10 0 --- -7.44 312 A Trinity 4-10 -6 -6 0.80 317 N Clarkson 4-14 -10 -4 - -2.75 319 N Farmingdale State 12-13 -1 -1 0.07 323 H Plymouth State 9- 8 1 3 - -2.91 328 A Southern Maine 25- 5 20 16 0.00 329 A Castleton 13- 2 11 12 0.00 410 H Massachusetts-Boston 21- 5 16 2 ++ 4.62 412 A Massachusetts Maritime 16-10 6 4 1.71 416 A Eastern Connecticut 20- 7 13 8 0.00 419 H Salem State 29- 1 28 14 0.00 422 H Keene State 21-11 10 4 + 2.06 501 H Keene State 17- 7 10 4 + 2.06 503 H Massachusetts-Boston 22- 7 15 2 ++ 4.62 507 A Babson 4-24 -20 -5 -1.42UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A Hartford 4-14 -10 0 --- -7.44 301 H Merchant Marine 15-17 -2 1 - -3.88 317 N Clarkson 4-14 -10 -4 - -2.75 323 H Plymouth State 9- 8 1 3 - -2.91OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 H Massachusetts-Boston 21- 5 16 2 ++ 4.62 503 H Massachusetts-Boston 22- 7 15 2 ++ 4.62 226 H Montclair State 14- 9 5 1 + 3.14 422 H Keene State 21-11 10 4 + 2.06 501 H Keene State 17- 7 10 4 + 2.06
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 86.40 Power Rank................. 64 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 64.05 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 72 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6175 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 72 RPI Rating............... .5629 RPI Rank................... 57 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 226 Selection sum ........... 221 Selection Rank ............ 68 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 88 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 92 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -20.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7